Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:11 AM, 141 voters in 24 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 167,136 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 144,526 - 191,969). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 11:11 AM 2240 c(2.5% = 2018) c(97.5% = 2513)
02 11:11 AM 3654 c(2.5% = 3352) c(97.5% = 3976)
03 11:11 AM 2116 c(2.5% = 1829) c(97.5% = 2461)
04 11:11 AM 2140 c(2.5% = 1811) c(97.5% = 2579)
05 11:11 AM 5416 c(2.5% = 4957) c(97.5% = 5844)
06 11:11 AM 1420 c(2.5% = 1248) c(97.5% = 1678)
07 11:11 AM 1562 c(2.5% = 1013) c(97.5% = 2356)
08 11:11 AM 5067 c(2.5% = 4709) c(97.5% = 5612)
09 11:11 AM 2399 c(2.5% = 2241) c(97.5% = 2771)
10 11:11 AM 3027 c(2.5% = 2680) c(97.5% = 3646)
11 11:11 AM 1362 c(2.5% = 1144) c(97.5% = 1665)
12 11:11 AM 2315 c(2.5% = 2001) c(97.5% = 2792)
13 11:11 AM 2096 c(2.5% = 1794) c(97.5% = 2542)
14 11:11 AM 911 c(2.5% = 815) c(97.5% = 1047)
15 11:11 AM 2614 c(2.5% = 2465) c(97.5% = 2917)
16 11:11 AM 1156 c(2.5% = 945) c(97.5% = 1463)
17 11:11 AM 2568 c(2.5% = 2203) c(97.5% = 3094)
18 11:11 AM 2243 c(2.5% = 2029) c(97.5% = 2478)
19 11:11 AM 1131 c(2.5% = 818) c(97.5% = 1616)
20 11:11 AM 1098 c(2.5% = 861) c(97.5% = 1377)
21 11:11 AM 6047 c(2.5% = 5488) c(97.5% = 6722)
22 11:11 AM 3169 c(2.5% = 2957) c(97.5% = 3513)
23 11:11 AM 2016 c(2.5% = 1657) c(97.5% = 2385)
24 11:11 AM 1686 c(2.5% = 1412) c(97.5% = 1951)
25 11:11 AM 1706 c(2.5% = 1371) c(97.5% = 2080)
26 11:11 AM 2323 c(2.5% = 2092) c(97.5% = 2568)
27 11:11 AM 3133 c(2.5% = 2505) c(97.5% = 4008)
28 11:11 AM 1225 c(2.5% = 1007) c(97.5% = 1539)
29 11:11 AM 1198 c(2.5% = 1055) c(97.5% = 1375)
30 11:11 AM 2331 c(2.5% = 2203) c(97.5% = 2573)
31 11:11 AM 2034 c(2.5% = 1836) c(97.5% = 2192)
32 11:11 AM 2041 c(2.5% = 1664) c(97.5% = 2576)
33 11:11 AM 1813 c(2.5% = 1262) c(97.5% = 2498)
34 11:11 AM 4360 c(2.5% = 3867) c(97.5% = 5040)
35 11:11 AM 3074 c(2.5% = 2473) c(97.5% = 3645)
36 11:11 AM 3546 c(2.5% = 3165) c(97.5% = 4003)
37 11:11 AM 1325 c(2.5% = 1065) c(97.5% = 1715)
38 11:11 AM 2197 c(2.5% = 1986) c(97.5% = 2491)
39 11:11 AM 4415 c(2.5% = 4012) c(97.5% = 5111)
40 11:11 AM 4621 c(2.5% = 3893) c(97.5% = 5488)
41 11:11 AM 1903 c(2.5% = 1532) c(97.5% = 2310)
42 11:11 AM 2392 c(2.5% = 1863) c(97.5% = 3105)
43 11:11 AM 1886 c(2.5% = 1414) c(97.5% = 2614)
44 11:11 AM 1440 c(2.5% = 1219) c(97.5% = 1733)
45 11:11 AM 2138 c(2.5% = 1748) c(97.5% = 2565)
46 11:11 AM 2633 c(2.5% = 2539) c(97.5% = 2984)
47 11:11 AM 876 c(2.5% = 734) c(97.5% = 1044)
48 11:11 AM 2067 c(2.5% = 1753) c(97.5% = 2391)
49 11:11 AM 2606 c(2.5% = 2200) c(97.5% = 3128)
50 11:11 AM 3494 c(2.5% = 3225) c(97.5% = 3954)
51 11:11 AM 2311 c(2.5% = 2015) c(97.5% = 2825)
52 11:11 AM 2804 c(2.5% = 2543) c(97.5% = 3175)
53 11:11 AM 2120 c(2.5% = 1714) c(97.5% = 2527)
54 11:11 AM 1578 c(2.5% = 1208) c(97.5% = 2014)
55 11:11 AM 2477 c(2.5% = 2014) c(97.5% = 2977)
56 11:11 AM 3568 c(2.5% = 2997) c(97.5% = 4152)
57 11:11 AM 3057 c(2.5% = 2571) c(97.5% = 3494)
58 11:11 AM 5171 c(2.5% = 4349) c(97.5% = 6015)
59 11:11 AM 2460 c(2.5% = 2158) c(97.5% = 2910)
60 11:11 AM 1966 c(2.5% = 1724) c(97.5% = 2324)
61 11:11 AM 3059 c(2.5% = 2573) c(97.5% = 3666)
62 11:11 AM 2328 c(2.5% = 1828) c(97.5% = 2877)
63 11:11 AM 2878 c(2.5% = 2533) c(97.5% = 3255)
64 11:11 AM 1665 c(2.5% = 1383) c(97.5% = 1950)
65 11:11 AM 2395 c(2.5% = 2055) c(97.5% = 2727)
66 11:11 AM 5070 c(2.5% = 4330) c(97.5% = 5747)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions