Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:11 AM, 141 voters in 24 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 167,136 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 144,526 - 191,969). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	11:11 AM	2240	c(2.5% = 2018)	c(97.5% = 2513)
02	11:11 AM	3654	c(2.5% = 3352)	c(97.5% = 3976)
03	11:11 AM	2116	c(2.5% = 1829)	c(97.5% = 2461)
04	11:11 AM	2140	c(2.5% = 1811)	c(97.5% = 2579)
05	11:11 AM	5416	c(2.5% = 4957)	c(97.5% = 5844)
06	11:11 AM	1420	c(2.5% = 1248)	c(97.5% = 1678)
07	11:11 AM	1562	c(2.5% = 1013)	c(97.5% = 2356)
08	11:11 AM	5067	c(2.5% = 4709)	c(97.5% = 5612)
09	11:11 AM	2399	c(2.5% = 2241)	c(97.5% = 2771)
10	11:11 AM	3027	c(2.5% = 2680)	c(97.5% = 3646)
11	11:11 AM	1362	c(2.5% = 1144)	c(97.5% = 1665)
12	11:11 AM	2315	c(2.5% = 2001)	c(97.5% = 2792)
13	11:11 AM	2096	c(2.5% = 1794)	c(97.5% = 2542)
14	11:11 AM	911	c(2.5% = 815)	c(97.5% = 1047)
15	11:11 AM	2614	c(2.5% = 2465)	c(97.5% = 2917)
16	11:11 AM	1156	c(2.5% = 945)	c(97.5% = 1463)
17	11:11 AM	2568	c(2.5% = 2203)	c(97.5% = 3094)
18	11:11 AM	2243	c(2.5% = 2029)	c(97.5% = 2478)
19	11:11 AM	1131	c(2.5% = 818)	c(97.5% = 1616)
20	11:11 AM	1098	c(2.5% = 861)	c(97.5% = 1377)
21	11:11 AM	6047	c(2.5% = 5488)	c(97.5% = 6722)
22	11:11 AM	3169	c(2.5% = 2957)	c(97.5% = 3513)
23	11:11 AM	2016	c(2.5% = 1657)	c(97.5% = 2385)
24	11:11 AM	1686	c(2.5% = 1412)	c(97.5% = 1951)
25	11:11 AM	1706	c(2.5% = 1371)	c(97.5% = 2080)
26	11:11 AM	2323	c(2.5% = 2092)	c(97.5% = 2568)
27	11:11 AM	3133	c(2.5% = 2505)	c(97.5% = 4008)
28	11:11 AM	1225	c(2.5% = 1007)	c(97.5% = 1539)
29	11:11 AM	1198	c(2.5% = 1055)	c(97.5% = 1375)
30	11:11 AM	2331	c(2.5% = 2203)	c(97.5% = 2573)
31	11:11 AM	2034	c(2.5% = 1836)	c(97.5% = 2192)
32	11:11 AM	2041	c(2.5% = 1664)	c(97.5% = 2576)
33	11:11 AM	1813	c(2.5% = 1262)	c(97.5% = 2498)
34	11:11 AM	4360	c(2.5% = 3867)	c(97.5% = 5040)
35	11:11 AM	3074	c(2.5% = 2473)	c(97.5% = 3645)
36	11:11 AM	3546	c(2.5% = 3165)	c(97.5% = 4003)
37	11:11 AM	1325	c(2.5% = 1065)	c(97.5% = 1715)
38	11:11 AM	2197	c(2.5% = 1986)	c(97.5% = 2491)
39	11:11 AM	4415	c(2.5% = 4012)	c(97.5% = 5111)
40	11:11 AM	4621	c(2.5% = 3893)	c(97.5% = 5488)
41	11:11 AM	1903	c(2.5% = 1532)	c(97.5% = 2310)
42	11:11 AM	2392	c(2.5% = 1863)	c(97.5% = 3105)
43	11:11 AM	1886	c(2.5% = 1414)	c(97.5% = 2614)
44	11:11 AM	1440	c(2.5% = 1219)	c(97.5% = 1733)
45	11:11 AM	2138	c(2.5% = 1748)	c(97.5% = 2565)
46	11:11 AM	2633	c(2.5% = 2539)	c(97.5% = 2984)
47	11:11 AM	876	c(2.5% = 734)	c(97.5% = 1044)
48	11:11 AM	2067	c(2.5% = 1753)	c(97.5% = 2391)
49	11:11 AM	2606	c(2.5% = 2200)	c(97.5% = 3128)
50	11:11 AM	3494	c(2.5% = 3225)	c(97.5% = 3954)
51	11:11 AM	2311	c(2.5% = 2015)	c(97.5% = 2825)
52	11:11 AM	2804	c(2.5% = 2543)	c(97.5% = 3175)
53	11:11 AM	2120	c(2.5% = 1714)	c(97.5% = 2527)
54	11:11 AM	1578	c(2.5% = 1208)	c(97.5% = 2014)
55	11:11 AM	2477	c(2.5% = 2014)	c(97.5% = 2977)
56	11:11 AM	3568	c(2.5% = 2997)	c(97.5% = 4152)
57	11:11 AM	3057	c(2.5% = 2571)	c(97.5% = 3494)
58	11:11 AM	5171	c(2.5% = 4349)	c(97.5% = 6015)
59	11:11 AM	2460	c(2.5% = 2158)	c(97.5% = 2910)
60	11:11 AM	1966	c(2.5% = 1724)	c(97.5% = 2324)
61	11:11 AM	3059	c(2.5% = 2573)	c(97.5% = 3666)
62	11:11 AM	2328	c(2.5% = 1828)	c(97.5% = 2877)
63	11:11 AM	2878	c(2.5% = 2533)	c(97.5% = 3255)
64	11:11 AM	1665	c(2.5% = 1383)	c(97.5% = 1950)
65	11:11 AM	2395	c(2.5% = 2055)	c(97.5% = 2727)
66	11:11 AM	5070	c(2.5% = 4330)	c(97.5% = 5747)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156
10:45 AM	2713	96
10:02 AM	4622	131
11:00 AM	2707	86
11:11 AM	3103	151
11:10 AM	3113	101
8:30 AM	0201	103
8:40 AM	0824	57
11:07 AM	6008	67
8:00 AM	4601	37
11:00 AM	2208	91

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions